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Sep 10, 2012
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late next week early voting begins in wisconsin, michigan, new hampshire and virginia. ballot boxes open in iowa the week after and ohio on october 2nd. these votes could prove critical. in 2008, 30% of all votes were cast early, which is up from 20% in 2004. in colorado nearly four out of every five votes were cast early. with the clock ticking the romney campaign must focus where it counts the most, a top romney official tells politico, quote, our problems are virginia, ohio, nevada, new hampshire, and our opportunities are michigan, wisconsin, colorado. we can't trade our problems for our opportunities and win the presidency. if we trade our problems for opportunities, we lose. joining us now from washington, is peter hart, a pollster for nbc news and "the wall street journal" who also runs hart research. peter, always great to see you. >> thanks, alex. >> so let's really talk about the campaign math here. first of all i don't think most folks are aware of how critical key voting is and the fact that the game is afoot right now? >> it certainly is. but what fascinate
late next week early voting begins in wisconsin, michigan, new hampshire and virginia. ballot boxes open in iowa the week after and ohio on october 2nd. these votes could prove critical. in 2008, 30% of all votes were cast early, which is up from 20% in 2004. in colorado nearly four out of every five votes were cast early. with the clock ticking the romney campaign must focus where it counts the most, a top romney official tells politico, quote, our problems are virginia, ohio, nevada, new...
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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one a day 50+. >>> here in virginia, we're not better off under president obama. his defense cuts were weak in national security and threaten over 130,000 jobs. here in ohio, we're not better off under president obama. his defense cuts will weaken national security and threaten over 20,000 ohio jobs. >> those were recent ads released by the romney campaign, attempting to appeal to voters in the swing states of virginia and ohio. the ads may seem target but they are old school compared with the data minding tactics campaigns are using to sway the handful of undecided voters who will determine the election. over the last 12 years a quiet revolution has been taking place in politics and involves a type of political science enabling strategists to figure out how a person will vote before election day. in an article on the romney campaign, sasha issenberg writes, quote -- joining the panel now is sasha issenberg, a columnist slate and author of the book "the victory lab, the secret science of winning campaigns" which goes on sale tomorrow and will continue to boost sal
one a day 50+. >>> here in virginia, we're not better off under president obama. his defense cuts were weak in national security and threaten over 130,000 jobs. here in ohio, we're not better off under president obama. his defense cuts will weaken national security and threaten over 20,000 ohio jobs. >> those were recent ads released by the romney campaign, attempting to appeal to voters in the swing states of virginia and ohio. the ads may seem target but they are old school...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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but i can tell you this, virginia, this is america. our problems can be solved and our challenges can be met. we've got the best workers in the world, the best business people and entrepreneurs and scientists and researchers in the world, colleges and universities in the world. there's not a country on earth that wouldn't trade places with the united states of america. so the path i'm offering may be harder, but it leads to a better place. i'm offering a practical, five-point plan to create jobs, and grow the middle class. and rebuild the economy on a stronger foundation. so let me break it down in case you guys missed the convention. just in case. or just in case you only saw michele. number one -- >> that was president obama speaking to a riled up crowd in woodbridge, virginia. michael hastings has been on the campaign trail with the president. the president is up by at least five points according to some polls, higher margins and others in virginia, the confederacy he won in 2008. and early voting starts in the state today. >> right
but i can tell you this, virginia, this is america. our problems can be solved and our challenges can be met. we've got the best workers in the world, the best business people and entrepreneurs and scientists and researchers in the world, colleges and universities in the world. there's not a country on earth that wouldn't trade places with the united states of america. so the path i'm offering may be harder, but it leads to a better place. i'm offering a practical, five-point plan to create...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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today's rallies each in virginia. the president is running a little bit late. president obama's campaign responding to romney's new straight to camera ad with one of its own a two-minute living room pitch airing in seven states. >> during the last weeks of the campaign, there will be debates, speeches, and more ads. but if i could sit down with you, in your living room or around the kitchen table, here's what i'd say -- when i took office we were losing nearly 800,000 jobs a month and mired in iraq. today i believe that as a nation we are moving forward again. >> yesterday in ohio, governor romney also seemed to be in a duel with himself. morning rally he condemned the affordable care act as government invasion. >> he also thinks that the government can do a better job than you in the way you live your life and obama care is point number one. it's the example number one he wants to put bureaucrats between you and your doctor, believes the government should tell you what kind of insurance you have to have. >> the very same day, specifically eight hours and 15 mi
today's rallies each in virginia. the president is running a little bit late. president obama's campaign responding to romney's new straight to camera ad with one of its own a two-minute living room pitch airing in seven states. >> during the last weeks of the campaign, there will be debates, speeches, and more ads. but if i could sit down with you, in your living room or around the kitchen table, here's what i'd say -- when i took office we were losing nearly 800,000 jobs a month and...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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and in virginia, a new poll from suffolk university/nbc 12 puts obama slightly ahead of romney, also within the margin of error. so, how can romney turn it around? it may not be easy. some people within this romney campaign have concluded he's not actually a very good politician. here's what one romney official explained to politico. he said -- now romney's former rival newt gingrich doesn't go quite that far, but he says that romney needs to reform his thinking. >> i think they're only now beginning to come to grips with the general election. they had a very -- >> scary -- >> they had a very successful primary strategy. in a primary you can raise enough money to build a motor boat and drive to where you want to get to in the primary. in the general election you're like a sail boat. the system is so much bigger than you. >> it is hard to go from a motor boat to a sail boat, known who is familiar with yachting knows that. ben smith, i want to go right to you and talk about sort of the problem facing this campaign. first, when is the last time that governor mitt romney gave a speech or
and in virginia, a new poll from suffolk university/nbc 12 puts obama slightly ahead of romney, also within the margin of error. so, how can romney turn it around? it may not be easy. some people within this romney campaign have concluded he's not actually a very good politician. here's what one romney official explained to politico. he said -- now romney's former rival newt gingrich doesn't go quite that far, but he says that romney needs to reform his thinking. >> i think they're only...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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i travel around a lot in virginia and aoss this country, i don't meet a t of victims. rg mts ag nt obama sakinin referencing governor romney's 47% comments. president's speech comes as vice president biden tweeted this picture writing, 40 days. let's do this thing. lois, i feel like we'reeeing a veryse ter swaggerific but a highly confident obama campaign. it is, as we were talking during the break, amazing how much the 47% video has been an inflection point, a real i think turning point in the entire race. >> it's been absolutely amazing. pa of it,eer tng about, is this idea that people are astounded that these words would come out of his mouth, even in a private setting. there are no private settings. and they were disdainful. i an they weren just fact. they just had a kind of lilt t thha aiul. and there are a lot of people out there that are not professional welfare recipients. >> yes. >> people who painfully had to go and get a handout because something happened in their life and it's hard for them to digest this. i will tell you about the swger. ey a nea swaggerin
i travel around a lot in virginia and aoss this country, i don't meet a t of victims. rg mts ag nt obama sakinin referencing governor romney's 47% comments. president's speech comes as vice president biden tweeted this picture writing, 40 days. let's do this thing. lois, i feel like we'reeeing a veryse ter swaggerific but a highly confident obama campaign. it is, as we were talking during the break, amazing how much the 47% video has been an inflection point, a real i think turning point in the...
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Sep 18, 2012
09/12
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. >> virginia is one of those states. >> there are none of these states he can afford to lose and as i -- kind of straining with the metaphor, he just makes it harder for himself at every turn. it's not only does he not want to talk about taxes, every day, when is the last time anybody can remember mitt romney winning a news cycle. >> thus the point of my prolonged wind baggy open to this show -- >> beautiful wind, cooling all of us, soothing across the plains. >> like a bad -- we don't want to get too far into that. >> but let's go back to -- this has been -- you talked to the romney camp. this has been going on since july. >> it's 50 days from election day and we haven't spent a day in the last -- in my memory and now granted i'm adult. >> yes, very old? >> but in my memory i can't remember the last day we spent talking about the nurse of barack obama's stewardship. that's the only message they have that wins and we're 50 days out and going to spend the rest of this week talking about this and you pointed out at the beginning, i'll shut up, be it's just escalates and elevates how i
. >> virginia is one of those states. >> there are none of these states he can afford to lose and as i -- kind of straining with the metaphor, he just makes it harder for himself at every turn. it's not only does he not want to talk about taxes, every day, when is the last time anybody can remember mitt romney winning a news cycle. >> thus the point of my prolonged wind baggy open to this show -- >> beautiful wind, cooling all of us, soothing across the plains. >>...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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a huge damaging factor to romney across the board, but seemingly in places like ohio, florida, and virginia in particular. >> which is not how they thought this was going to play out. you know, the -- hugo, i want to play a new ad from the romney campaign, too many americans the title of it. mitt romney straight to camera no suit jacket, let's take a look. >> president obama and i both care about poor and middle-class families. the difference is, my policies will make things better for them. we shouldn't measure compassion by how many people are on welfare. we should measure compassion by how many people are able to get off welfare and get a good-paying job. >> i think that's a strong ad for mitt romney. the question is why he wasn't playing that two or three months ago. >> it is a good ad and you're right. there's a larger dynamic in ohio that actually is true nationally, too, which is you have some economic improvement, you have -- there's a sort of consumer confidence number that came out, highest since february, the housing market that's starting to actually show real upticks nationally
a huge damaging factor to romney across the board, but seemingly in places like ohio, florida, and virginia in particular. >> which is not how they thought this was going to play out. you know, the -- hugo, i want to play a new ad from the romney campaign, too many americans the title of it. mitt romney straight to camera no suit jacket, let's take a look. >> president obama and i both care about poor and middle-class families. the difference is, my policies will make things better...
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Sep 14, 2012
09/12
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more than half of the spending since mid march has gone to three states, florida, ohio and virginia. those are the battlegrounds where new polls show president obama in the lead. we can thank the campaign beast known as the super pac for most of the that outside spending. joining the panel is senior strategist and co-founder of priorities usa, president obama's money bunny, bill burton. >> money bunny. >> well, someone else is already the money honey we thought money bunny was fitting given the hop to it attitude you've had recently and -- looks like you had a big haul in august, $10 million raised. is that a sign that the democrats have finally overcome their ambivalence about super pacs? >> nothing like fear to focus the mind. and i think that as democrats have seen this is a close race, i mean the thing that's been mostly motivational i think for a lot of democrats is that i think everybody agrees that mitt romney had a convention that was not up to the same standards as the democratic convention. stumbled through the last couple days and even still this race is basically tied, th
more than half of the spending since mid march has gone to three states, florida, ohio and virginia. those are the battlegrounds where new polls show president obama in the lead. we can thank the campaign beast known as the super pac for most of the that outside spending. joining the panel is senior strategist and co-founder of priorities usa, president obama's money bunny, bill burton. >> money bunny. >> well, someone else is already the money honey we thought money bunny was...
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Sep 3, 2012
09/12
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today, he holds a rally in ohio, then will tour hurricane damage in louisiana before heading to virginia tomorrow. the president is portraying governor romney as a monday morning quarterback, able to lob criticism but with no experience, skills or a playbook of his own. >> there was a lot of talk about hard truths and bold choices but the interesting thing was, nobody ever bothered to tell us what they were. and when governor romney finally had a chance to reveal the secret sauce, he did not offer a single new idea. >> the "wall street journal" editorial board summed up how short on detail romney's speech actually was, writing quote, energy got one sentence, education scored big with two, neil armstrong received almost as much speech time as what mr. romney would do specifically to spur faster growth and raise middle class incomes. so overall, how did it play? did romney pick up the vaunted big mo heading into the locker room? according to a new gallup poll out today, 40% of voters are more likely to support romney following the convention while 38% say they are less likely. that 2% net
today, he holds a rally in ohio, then will tour hurricane damage in louisiana before heading to virginia tomorrow. the president is portraying governor romney as a monday morning quarterback, able to lob criticism but with no experience, skills or a playbook of his own. >> there was a lot of talk about hard truths and bold choices but the interesting thing was, nobody ever bothered to tell us what they were. and when governor romney finally had a chance to reveal the secret sauce, he did...
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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the president up in the big three, leading by seven points in ohio and virginia, by five points in florida. marquette poll from wisconsin illustrates how bad the past month has been for mitt romney. a three-point margin expanded to 14 point. more important than the raw number is is a big breakthrough. gaps are outside the plarjen of error but romney isn't seeing support slip on the ground among voters. suzanna martinez, once rumoreds a romney running mate, we have a lot of people at poverty level in new mexico and count as much as anybody else. deane hellor went further, i don't view the world the same way mitt romney does. as a u.s. senator my job is to represent every one of those votes when they voted for me or against me. at the weekly stakeout yesterday, they refused to take questions about romney. this morning, house speaker john boehner repeatedly dodged questions about the famous 47%. >> do you agree with mitt romney's remarks that 47% of the country see themselves as victims or dependent on the government and it's not his job to worry about the election. >> the election is about j
the president up in the big three, leading by seven points in ohio and virginia, by five points in florida. marquette poll from wisconsin illustrates how bad the past month has been for mitt romney. a three-point margin expanded to 14 point. more important than the raw number is is a big breakthrough. gaps are outside the plarjen of error but romney isn't seeing support slip on the ground among voters. suzanna martinez, once rumoreds a romney running mate, we have a lot of people at poverty...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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it's not true of the two governors in new jersey and virginia that i helped get elected. and that a lot of folks around the country rallied around because of their ideas about the role of government. so i take your point. i mean, in a broader scale. it goes to something i was saying in our last segment about where the electorate is moving and they are a little more active, more engaged. whether you agree or disagree with tea party or out of plccup street there is a synergy beyond the big bucks. as they're beginning to know aurl the campaign money flowing into the super pacs doesn't seem to be having the kind of impact on the voters that they thought it would be having at the presidential level. >> i don't think we have to speculate about what's going to happen if obama wins. the far right of the party that's been driving the election has been out in the last couple weeks preparing everybody for what their line is going to be, which is mitt romney blew it. he's inept, he's too moderate, doesn't champion -- didn't double down on this stuff and they're preparing us for their
it's not true of the two governors in new jersey and virginia that i helped get elected. and that a lot of folks around the country rallied around because of their ideas about the role of government. so i take your point. i mean, in a broader scale. it goes to something i was saying in our last segment about where the electorate is moving and they are a little more active, more engaged. whether you agree or disagree with tea party or out of plccup street there is a synergy beyond the big bucks....
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Sep 4, 2012
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president obama is holding a campaign rally at norfolk state university in virginia right now. let's listen in and hear what he has to say for a couple minutes. >> we don't think that will magically translate into jobs or prosperity for people. we know families won't be better off if we undo all the wall street reforms we put into place to prevent another financial crisis. or that we're going to be better off if we remove rules to protect our air and our water, or if we're going to take away protections we put in place to make sure that health care is there for you when you get sick. and we are certainly positive that the best way to strengthen medicare isn't to turn it into a voucher that leaves seniors paying additional costs out of pocket. that's not a plan to create jobs. it's not a plan to lower the deficit. it's not a plan to strengthen the middle class. it's not a plan to strengthen this country. we believe in something better. we believe in an america that says our economic strength doesn't come from the top down, it comes from the middle out. it comes from the bottom u
president obama is holding a campaign rally at norfolk state university in virginia right now. let's listen in and hear what he has to say for a couple minutes. >> we don't think that will magically translate into jobs or prosperity for people. we know families won't be better off if we undo all the wall street reforms we put into place to prevent another financial crisis. or that we're going to be better off if we remove rules to protect our air and our water, or if we're going to take...